Conflict Resolution and the War in Ukraine
Conflict Resolution and the War in Ukraine
Sundeep Waslekar, Yair Chirschfeld and Christodoulos G. Pelaghias
13 May 2022
The war in eastern Ukraine has been ongoing since 2014, but the full-scale invasion by Russia that took place in February 2022 caught many by surprise. However, after the failed attempt to take Kyiv and topple the Zelensky government, the fights are now concentrated again in the Donbas region as well as in the south of the country. Three months on, the war has no end in sight. The end may come closer when Russia and Ukraine reach what in conflict resolution is called a mutually hurting stalemate – a situation, in which neither party can win while prolonging the conflict would be harmful to both. This shouldn’t be expected anytime soon as none of the warring sides is currently interested in ending the conflict. However, further escalation may eventually push Russia to use its nuclear weapons – an unlikely scenario that nevertheless cannot be entirely ruled out. Therefore, stopping the war in Ukraine as soon as possible and preventing a nuclear disaster in Europe is the most urgent need.
#UkraineWar #Ukraine #Russia
Sundeep Waslekar is President of Strategic Foresight Group, a think-tank based in India that advises governments and institutions around the world on managing future challenges. Under his leadership, SFG has worked with or on 50 countries from four continents creating new policy concepts in conflict resolution, water diplomacy and foresight for countries and societies. Mr. Waslekar has been involved in parallel diplomatic exercises to find common ground in times of crisis, negotiating with Heads of Government, cabinet ministers, diplomats, hydraulic engineers and terrorists. He has facilitated dialogue between Indian and Pakistani decision-makers, heads of Nepalese political parties and water authorities in Africa and the Middle East. In the 1990s, he authored three books on governance The New World Order, South Asian Drama, and Dharma-Rajya: Path-breaking Reforms for India's Governance. Since 2002, he has authored several research reports on global future under the auspices of the Strategic Foresight Group. He was been a faculty at World Economic Forum annual meetings at Davos and a senior executive at the International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance, Stockholm. He has been quoted, reviewed and interviewed in more than 2000 newspapers, websites and television channels in some 70-80 countries including BBC World Television, CNN, The Economist, New York Times, The Guardian, Financial Times, Newsweek, among others.
Yair Hirschfeld is an Israeli historian and a former lecturer at the University of Haifa. Since 1979, he has been involved in promoting the Israeli-Palestinian peace process. During the 1980ies he organized the confidential dialogue between Shimon Peres with the Palestinian leadership on the West Bank and Gaza. He prepared a study that became the conceptual model for the Oslo negotiations. He led the non-official Israeli team in Norway and became then a member of the official Israeli negotiating team leading to the conclusion of the Israel-PLO Declaration of Principles of September 1993. During the 1990ies, Mr. Hirschfeld developed concepts and structures for People-to-People activities, as well as working concepts for an Israel-Palestine code of conduct aimed to move from the logic of war, to the logic of peace; a blueprint for Security Permanent Status, and Economic Permanent Status understandings. After the Second Intifada, Mr. Hirschfeld was instrumental in preparing the way for Israeli-Palestinian security cooperation. He was involved in an Israel-Palestine backchannel preparing parameters for negotiations between PM Olmert and President Abbas, an effort that failed. Mr. Hirschfeld is presently involved in pursuing a track two dialogue with Palestinian counterparts on one hand, and with Israeli governmental authorities on the other hand, how best to pursue shared interests in the preparation of a hoped-for renewal of an envisaged political peace-building process. He is heading an Israeli team in a joint Israeli-Palestinian project aimed at promoting Palestinian economic growth.
Christodoulos G. Pelaghias is the senior partner of Cyprus-based international law practice, with bar admissions in New York and Cyprus. Dr. Pelaghias serves on the Executive Committee of the International Section of the New York State Bar Association. He is president of the Cyprus Council of the European Movement International (EMI), and former member of the Board of Directors of EMI. He is chairman of the European Rim Policy and Investment Council (ERPIC), and has advised the President of the Republic of Cyprus. Dr. Pelaghias holds an M.A. in International Affairs, a Ph.D in Political Science, and a J.D. in Law, from Columbia University.
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